Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000624 0.000708 0.000797 0.000898 0.001009 0.001127 0.001262
2026-01-11 0.000489 0.000605 0.000736 0.000893 0.001077 0.001283 0.001531
2026-01-18 0.000413 0.000541 0.000693 0.000884 0.001114 0.001383 0.001716
2026-01-25 0.000363 0.000501 0.000671 0.000892 0.001168 0.001498 0.001920
2026-02-01 0.000321 0.000465 0.000648 0.000893 0.001208 0.001594 0.002099
2026-02-08 0.000276 0.000419 0.000606 0.000866 0.001209 0.001639 0.002213
2026-02-15 0.000240 0.000381 0.000572 0.000845 0.001213 0.001685 0.002327
2026-02-22 0.000215 0.000356 0.000553 0.000840 0.001237 0.001756 0.002472
2026-03-01 0.000194 0.000334 0.000537 0.000838 0.001263 0.001829 0.002623
2026-03-08 0.000174 0.000311 0.000515 0.000827 0.001276 0.001883 0.002746
2026-03-15 0.000155 0.000289 0.000493 0.000813 0.001282 0.001927 0.002858
2026-03-22 0.000147 0.000283 0.000495 0.000834 0.001338 0.002041 0.003066
2026-03-29 0.000137 0.000273 0.000491 0.000846 0.001383 0.002140 0.003258
2026-04-05 0.000124 0.000257 0.000476 0.000839 0.001399 0.002200 0.003397
2026-04-12 0.000112 0.000241 0.000460 0.000830 0.001412 0.002255 0.003528
2026-04-19 0.000104 0.000233 0.000455 0.000838 0.001448 0.002344 0.003711
2026-04-26 0.000096 0.000222 0.000446 0.000839 0.001475 0.002419 0.003874
2026-05-03 0.000084 0.000204 0.000422 0.000813 0.001458 0.002428 0.003941
2026-05-10 0.000074 0.000188 0.000402 0.000793 0.001448 0.002448 0.004023
2026-05-17 0.000068 0.000178 0.000391 0.000788 0.001463 0.002504 0.004159
2026-05-24 0.000062 0.000170 0.000383 0.000787 0.001482 0.002567 0.004308
2026-05-31 0.000056 0.000160 0.000370 0.000776 0.001486 0.002606 0.004420
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000150 0.000356 0.000763 0.001485 0.002637 0.004520